SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 4 | 14 | 10 |
| 2 | Marseille | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Montpellier HSC | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Clermont | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Clermont |
63.2% ( -0.06) | 20.77% ( 0.02) | 16.04% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0) | 44.39% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( 0) | 66.77% ( -0) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.59% ( -0.02) | 13.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.65% ( -0.04) | 40.35% ( 0.04) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.06) | 40.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.72% ( 0.05) | 77.28% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Clermont |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 63.19% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 20.77% | 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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