SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Brest |
33.34% ( -0.18) | 28.89% ( -0.06) | 37.76% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.41% ( 0.16) | 61.59% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.56% ( 0.12) | 81.43% ( -0.12) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( -0.04) | 34.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.94% ( -0.04) | 71.05% ( 0.04) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( 0.22) | 31.44% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.17% ( 0.26) | 67.82% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
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