SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Strasbourg | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Brest | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 19 | Angers | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Brest | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 19 | Angers | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Ajaccio | 7 | -8 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Ajaccio |
38.82% ( -0.27) | 29.25% ( 0.03) | 31.93% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 43.78% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.04% ( -0.07) | 62.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% ( -0.05) | 82.44% ( 0.05) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.2) | 31.5% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.11% ( -0.23) | 67.88% ( 0.23) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( 0.13) | 36.09% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.12% ( 0.13) | 72.87% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.81% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
| 3 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
| 8 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Clermont | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | Nice | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 45 |
| 11 | Lorient | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 40 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 | Troyes | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 41 | 69 | -28 | 22 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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