SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Angers | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| 20 | Ajaccio | 6 | -7 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Nice | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Brest | 7 | -9 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 39.04%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Nice had a probability of 29.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.59%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Nice |
39.04% ( 0) | 31.4% ( 0) | 29.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.88% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.01) | 69.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.94% ( -0.01) | 87.05% ( 0) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( -0) | 34.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.31% ( -0) | 71.68% ( -0) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.22% ( -0.01) | 41.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.76% ( -0.01) | 78.24% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 15.34% 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.03% | 0-0 @ 14.59% 1-1 @ 13.39% 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.39% | 0-1 @ 12.74% 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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