SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Ajaccio |
63.24% ( 0.01) | 20.91% | 15.84% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -0.01) | 45.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.01) | 67.71% ( 0.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( -0) | 13.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.07% ( -0.01) | 40.93% ( 0) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.02) | 41.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.98% ( -0.02) | 78.02% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.8% Total : 63.22% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.91% | 0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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