SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ajaccio | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Strasbourg | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Marseille | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Lens |
36.13% ( -0.4) | 30.5% ( 0.36) | 33.37% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.79% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.33% ( -1.08) | 66.66% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.96% ( -0.74) | 85.04% ( 0.74) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.85) | 35.17% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.08% ( -0.9) | 71.92% ( 0.89) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.91% ( -0.57) | 37.08% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.13% ( -0.57) | 73.87% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.12% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.5% | 0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 33.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 36 | 27 | 3 | 6 | 86 | 36 | 50 | 84 |
| 2 | Lens | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 62 | 28 | 34 | 78 |
| 3 | Marseille | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 73 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 |
| 5 | Lille | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 63 |
| 6 | Rennes | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 62 |
| 7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 |
| 8 | Clermont | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 53 |
| 9 | Nice | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Lorient | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 44 |
| 14 | Brest | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 15 |
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