SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
41.5% ( 1.51) | 25.45% ( -0.12) | 33.05% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.21) | 48.27% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( 0.19) | 70.42% ( -0.19) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( 0.85) | 23.11% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.04% ( 1.23) | 56.96% ( -1.23) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( -0.75) | 27.8% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.6% ( -0.98) | 63.39% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 40 |
| 2 | Nice | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Brest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Marseille | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Reims | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 23 |
| 10 | Rennes | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Metz | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
| 15 | Lyon | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Lorient | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Clermont | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 11 |
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