SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Monaco |
24.31% ( -0.04) | 25.79% ( -0.03) | 49.9% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( 0.06) | 54.33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.28% ( 0.05) | 75.72% ( -0.05) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0) | 37.58% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.64% ( -0) | 74.36% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( 0.06) | 21.8% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.99% ( 0.09) | 55.01% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.31% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 72 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
| 8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Reims | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 23 |
| 19 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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