SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
41.1% ( -0.08) | 27.91% ( 0.03) | 31% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.39% ( -0.08) | 58.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% ( -0.06) | 79.17% ( 0.06) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.08) | 28.03% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.32% ( -0.11) | 63.68% ( 0.11) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% | 34.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.84% ( -0) | 71.17% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Marseille | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 67 |
| 3 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 50 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 56 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Clermont | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 49 |
| 9 | Nice | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 48 |
| 10 | Reims | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 47 |
| 11 | Lorient | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 43 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 14 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
