SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Walsall |
45.85% ( 0.2) | 25.13% ( -0.04) | 29.02% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( 0.1) | 48.53% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.09) | 70.65% ( -0.08) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% ( 0.13) | 21.19% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.93% ( 0.2) | 54.06% ( -0.2) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( -0.07) | 30.65% ( 0.07) |
