SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Gillingham |
39.08% ( 0.1) | 26.79% ( -0.03) | 34.12% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.28% ( 0.09) | 53.71% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.8% ( 0.07) | 75.2% ( -0.08) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( 0.1) | 26.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.86% ( 0.13) | 62.13% ( -0.13) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( -0) | 29.8% ( 0) |
