SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Gillingham |
58.91% ( 0.03) | 22.96% ( -0.01) | 18.13% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% ( 0.03) | 50.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% ( 0.03) | 72.09% ( -0.03) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( 0.02) | 16.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.42% ( 0.04) | 46.57% ( -0.04) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% ( -0) | 41.53% ( -0) |
