SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
44.5% ( -0.18) | 28% ( -0.02) | 27.49% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 45.22% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.76% ( 0.15) | 60.24% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.58% ( 0.11) | 80.42% ( -0.11) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.02) | 26.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.68% ( -0.03) | 62.31% ( 0.03) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( 0.24) | 38.07% ( -0.24) |
