Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colchester 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
We said: Colchester United 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Both sides come into this knockout tie after important home wins in their respective leagues at the weekend, so neither will be fearing their opposition and should be eyeing an enjoyable run in the competition. Colchester looked impressive in their win over Doncaster but an assignment against an in-form Bristol Rovers from the league above may prove too much for The U's on the night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
42.73% ( -0.16) | 24.86% ( 0.05) | 32.41% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( -0.18) | 45.86% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% ( -0.17) | 68.17% ( 0.17) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( -0.16) | 21.49% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.47% ( -0.23) | 54.53% ( 0.23) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.02) | 27.04% ( 0.01) |
