We said: Derby County 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Only one point separates these two sides in the table, so we're anticipating a highly-competitive game at Pride Park.
Given the respective form of both sides coming into this game, we think Rovers will have enough to maintain their unbeaten run here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result |
| Derby County | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
57.98% ( 0.01) | 21.98% ( -0) | 20.04% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0) |
| 56.74% ( 0) | 43.26% ( -0) |
| 34.34% ( 0) | 65.65% ( -0) |
| 85.35% ( 0) | 14.64% ( -0) |
