SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
37.46% ( 0.39) | 25.59% ( -0.31) | 36.95% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( 1.39) | 48.34% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( 1.26) | 70.48% ( -1.25) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.86) | 25.24% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.01% ( 1.17) | 59.99% ( -1.17) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( 0.6) | 25.53% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.62% ( 0.81) | 60.38% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
| 18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
| 19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
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