SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
36.46% ( 0.57) | 26.78% ( 0) | 36.75% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.52% ( 0) | 53.48% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25% ( 0) | 75% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.34) | 28.23% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.06% ( 0.43) | 63.94% ( -0.43) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -0.33) | 28.06% ( 0.33) |
