SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Lincoln City |
38% ( -0.04) | 24.87% ( -0.01) | 37.13% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.05) | 45.05% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( 0.05) | 67.4% ( -0.05) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0) | 23.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.53% ( -0) | 57.47% ( -0) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.05) | 23.92% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.86% ( 0.07) | 58.13% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 53 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 53 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 46 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 43 |
| 9 | Brentford | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 43 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 27 |
| 16 | Everton | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 27 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 27 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Southampton | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
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