Doncaster Rovers 0-3 Lincoln City - EFL Cup First Round - Football

Doncaster now operate in the league below Lincoln, but it is difficult to ignore their record against Tuesday's opponents when picking a winner here. Neither side will be at full strength, but we are backing Doncaster to emerge victorious by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Lincoln City
25.9% ( -0.03)	25.25% ( -0.02)	48.84% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.9% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98% (

0.05)

51.02% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12% (

0.05)

72.88% (

-0.05)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62% (

34.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

71.09% (

-0.01)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

0.04)

20.91% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.37% (

0.07)

53.63% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 25.9%

Lincoln City 48.83%

Draw 25.25%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.9%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.83%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	29	23	3	3	70	27	43	72
2	Manchester City Man City	28	20	4	4	71	26	45	64
3	Newcastle United Newcastle	28	14	11	3	46	20	26	53
4	Manchester United Man Utd	28	16	5	7	42	37	5	53
5	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	29	15	5	9	53	41	12	50
6	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	27	13	7	7	51	34	17	46
7	Aston Villa	29	13	5	11	39	40	-1	44
8	Liverpool	28	12	7	9	48	33	15	43
9	Brentford	29	10	13	6	46	38	8	43
10	Fulham	28	11	6	11	39	39	0	39
11	Chelsea	29	10	9	10	29	30	-1	39
12	Crystal Palace	29	7	9	13	24	39	-15	30
13	Leeds United Leeds	29	7	8	14	38	49	-11	29
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	29	7	7	15	23	42	-19	28
15	West Ham United West Ham	28	7	6	15	26	39	-13	27
16	Everton	29	6	9	14	23	41	-18	27
17	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	29	6	9	14	24	52	-28	27
18	Bournemouth	29	7	6	16	27	57	-30	27
19	Leicester City Leicester	29	7	4	18	40	51	-11	25
20	Southampton	29	6	5	18	23	47	-24	23

Form, Standings, Stats