SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Lincoln City |
52.95% ( 0.11) | 25.22% ( -0.02) | 21.83% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.6% ( -0.01) | 54.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.23% ( -0.01) | 75.77% ( 0.01) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( 0.04) | 20.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.94% ( 0.06) | 53.06% ( -0.06) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.02% ( -0.09) | 39.97% ( 0.09) |
