SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
28.38% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( 0.01) | 46.56% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% ( -0.04) | 48.62% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( -0.04) | 70.74% ( 0.03) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -0.01) | 31.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.49% ( -0.01) | 67.51% ( 0.01) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.03) | 20.92% ( 0.03) |
