SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Peterborough United |
70.95% ( -1.08) | 17.48% ( 0.46) | 11.57% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.43% ( -0.45) | 39.57% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.08% ( -0.47) | 61.92% ( 0.47) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.07% ( -0.38) | 9.92% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.14% ( -0.88) | 32.85% ( 0.88) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.74% ( 0.79) | 44.25% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.67% ( 0.63) | 80.33% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.66% Total : 70.94% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.48% | 0-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 51 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 45 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 41 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 35 |
| 7 | Fulham | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 29 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 24 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 24 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 19 |
| 18 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 18 |
| 20 | Southampton | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 15 |
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