Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sutton United and Chelsea Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Sutton United | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Grimsby Town | 5 | 0 | 8 |
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-2 Man City U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Liverpool Under-21s | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Chelsea Under-21s | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s | 4 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
51.57% ( -0.28) | 23.88% ( -0.02) | 24.55% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
