SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | York City |
44.66% ( 0.16) | 24.44% ( -0.01) | 30.89% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( -0.01) | 44.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( -0.01) | 66.94% ( 0.02) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.06) | 20.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.68% ( 0.1) | 52.32% ( -0.1) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( -0.1) | 27.37% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.17% ( -0.13) | 62.83% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
| 18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
| 19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
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