SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
33.2% ( -0.26) | 26.42% ( -0.1) | 40.37% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( 0.35) | 52.37% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( 0.3) | 74.05% ( -0.3) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( 0) | 29.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.21% ( 0) | 65.79% ( -0) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( 0.35) | 25.52% ( -0.35) |
