SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
42.4% ( 0.57) | 25.75% ( -0.15) | 31.84% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( 0.49) | 49.94% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% ( 0.43) | 71.93% ( -0.43) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( 0.5) | 23.4% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.62% ( 0.72) | 57.38% ( -0.72) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.04) | 29.41% ( 0.04) |
