SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Port Vale |
52.5% ( -0.16) | 23.41% ( -0) | 24.09% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( 0.16) | 44.8% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( 0.16) | 67.16% ( -0.16) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( 0) | 17.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.78% ( 0) | 47.22% ( -0.01) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.22) | 32.54% ( -0.23) |
