SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
64.07% ( 0.03) | 20.41% ( -0.03) | 15.52% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( 0.1) | 43.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% ( 0.1) | 66.17% ( -0.1) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.04) | 12.96% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.55% ( 0.08) | 39.44% ( -0.08) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.01% ( 0.06) | 40.99% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.46% ( 0.05) | 77.54% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 64.06% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 15.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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