SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 26 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Derry City | 26 | 18 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 26 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Derry City | 26 | 18 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
47.99% ( 0.02) | 28.21% ( -0) | 23.81% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.05% ( -0.01) | 62.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.57% ( -0.01) | 82.43% ( 0.01) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( 0) | 26.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.34% ( 0) | 61.66% ( -0.01) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.03) | 42.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.77% ( -0.02) | 79.23% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 15.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.84% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.05% Total : 23.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | DundalkDundalk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Cork City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 6 |
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