SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Dundalk |
51.44% ( -0.17) | 25.3% ( 0.07) | 23.26% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( -0.2) | 53.35% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( -0.17) | 74.89% ( 0.17) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.15) | 20.75% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.62% ( -0.24) | 53.38% ( 0.24) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% ( -0.02) | 37.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.23% ( -0.02) | 74.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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