SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
20.33% ( 0.62) | 25.93% ( 0.09) | 53.74% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 43.87% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% ( 0.31) | 58.41% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% ( 0.25) | 79.01% ( -0.24) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.14% ( 0.87) | 43.86% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.99% ( 0.71) | 80.01% ( -0.71) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.17) | 21.85% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.92% ( -0.26) | 55.08% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.33% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 14.57% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 11.08% ( -0.25)1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | DundalkDundalk | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 26 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 20 |
| 9 | Cork City | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 41 | -31 | 6 |
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