SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
37.62% ( -3.93) | 26.71% ( -0.35) | 35.67% ( 4.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( 2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.8% ( 2.16) | 53.2% ( -2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( 1.8) | 74.76% ( -1.8) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -1.16) | 27.42% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.1% ( -1.53) | 62.9% ( 1.53) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 3.89) | 28.58% ( -3.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.63% ( 4.62) | 64.37% ( -4.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( -1.26) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.36)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -1.06)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.69)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.74)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.62)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.54)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | DundalkDundalk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Cork City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 6 |
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