SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
68.83% ( 0.29) | 19.38% ( -0.21) | 11.79% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( 0.67) | 47.51% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( 0.62) | 69.72% ( -0.62) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( 0.29) | 12.72% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.06% ( 0.59) | 38.94% ( -0.59) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.02% ( 0.27) | 48.97% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.06% ( 0.19) | 83.93% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 68.82% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.38% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 11.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Sligo RoversSligo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 6 |
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