SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for University College Dublin had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest University College Dublin win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
24.92% ( 0.2) | 24.34% ( -0.06) | 50.73% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( 0.45) | 48.06% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( 0.41) | 70.22% ( -0.41) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( 0.41) | 33.6% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.75% ( 0.45) | 70.25% ( -0.45) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.12) | 18.95% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.52% ( 0.2) | 50.48% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.92% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Sligo RoversSligo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | DundalkDundalk | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 | Cork City | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
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