SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 26 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 26 | 4 | 35 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 26 | 0 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 26 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 27 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Derry City | 26 | 18 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
33.27% ( -2.15) | 28.64% ( 0.39) | 38.09% ( 1.76) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.28% ( -1.56) | 60.72% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.21% ( -1.19) | 80.78% ( 1.18) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( -2.25) | 33.94% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.38% ( -2.51) | 70.61% ( 2.5) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( 0.3) | 30.81% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.92% ( 0.36) | 67.08% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.26% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.53)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Derry CityDerry | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 6 |
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