Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Finn Harps.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 UCD
Monday, August 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, August 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 26 | -16 | 27 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 25 | -23 | 15 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 25 | -34 | 13 |
Last Game: Finn Harps 3-0 Drogheda
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 26 | -16 | 27 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 25 | -23 | 15 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 25 | -34 | 13 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a University College Dublin win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a University College Dublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that University College Dublin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Finn Harps |
40.02% ( 0.37) | 27.4% ( 0.07) | 32.58% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( -0.36) | 56.36% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( -0.29) | 77.38% ( 0.29) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 0.03) | 27.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.92% ( 0.05) | 63.07% ( -0.05) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.48) | 32.15% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.36% ( -0.55) | 68.63% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
University College Dublin 40.02%
Finn Harps 32.57%
Draw 27.39%
| University College Dublin | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.57% |
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Form Guide
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 UCD
Monday, August 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, August 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-2 Shelbourne
Friday, July 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, July 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 0-2 UCD
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-3 Bohemians
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-0 UCD
Friday, July 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, July 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-1 Derry
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 3-0 Drogheda
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-0 Finn Harps
Friday, July 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, July 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-2 Derry
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 3-1 Finn Harps
Friday, July 8 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, July 8 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 0-1 Shamrock
Friday, July 1 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, July 1 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, June 24 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 24 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
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League of Ireland Premier Table
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 73 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 53 | 25 | 28 | 66 |
| 3 | DundalkDundalk | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Sligo RoversSligo | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 46 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 38 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 35 |
| 9 | University College DublinUCD | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 23 |
| 10 | Finn HarpsFinn Harps | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 20 |
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Premier League Table
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 26 |
| 3 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Brentford | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Everton | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 13 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Southampton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 9 |
| 20 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
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