SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a University College Dublin win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a University College Dublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that University College Dublin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
38.9% ( -0.04) | 25.48% ( -0.02) | 35.62% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( 0.09) | 47.93% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( 0.08) | 70.11% ( -0.08) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( 0.02) | 24.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.35% ( 0.03) | 58.65% ( -0.03) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.08) | 26.09% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.85% ( 0.1) | 61.15% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Derry CityDerry | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | DundalkDundalk | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | Cork City | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 35 | -27 | 6 |
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