SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 61.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
61.05% ( -0) | 22.46% | 16.49% |
Both teams to score 47.05% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( 0) | 50.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( 0) | 72.58% ( -0.01) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( -0) | 16.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.4% | 45.6% ( -0) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.12% ( 0) | 43.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.97% ( 0) | 80.03% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 7.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.94% Total : 61.04% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0)2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 5.84% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bohemians | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Derry CityDerry | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 | DundalkDundalk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Sligo RoversSligo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Cork City | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 9 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 6 |
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