League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 24
May 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry
3 - 0
Dundalk
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wasiri Williams (44')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result |
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
51.55% ( -0) | 26.46% ( 0) | 22% |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( -0) |
