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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 2, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
VL

Osasuna
3 - 3
Valencia

Oroz (26', 39'), Budimir (45' pen.)
Torro (77'), Munoz (80')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Lopez (14'), Sadiq (32', 87')
Rioja (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Osasuna
Friday, February 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Valencia

There has only been one league draw between these two sides since January 2021, but that occurred earlier this season at Mestalla - it would not be a shock to see either win this clash, but Valencia's away struggles would make a point a positive result, and we are expecting Los Che to be good enough for a draw on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawValencia
41.68% (-0.28 -0.28) 27.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 30.67% (0.302 0.3)
Both teams to score 47.79% (0.179 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.22% (0.165 0.16)57.78% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48% (0.13 0.13)78.52% (-0.128 -0.13)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)27.32% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)62.77% (0.1 0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (0.31099999999999 0.31)34.25% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (0.332 0.33)70.95% (-0.32900000000001 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 41.68%
    Valencia 30.67%
    Draw 27.64%
OsasunaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Osasuna
Friday, February 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Osasuna
Monday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna
Thursday, February 6 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, February 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Friday, January 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, February 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Leganes
Sunday, February 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-5 Barcelona
Thursday, February 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 7-1 Valencia
Sunday, January 26 at 8pm in La Liga


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