Celta are searching for their first home success over Osasuna since January 2022, and their record in front of their own fans this season should hand them a lot of confidence. Osasuna have found it difficult on their travels, but they have drawn six of their 11 games on the road, and we are expecting the points to be shared in a 1-1 draw on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.
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