It was 1-0 to Atletico when the two sides locked horns for the reverse match earlier this season, and we are expecting the same scoreline here; Getafe do not concede many, but they struggle to score, and we fancy a narrow Atletico success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Atletico Madrid
18.17% ( -0.25)	24.78% ( -0.14)	57.05% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 43.69% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.11% (

0.16)

56.89% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

0.13)

77.81% (

-0.13)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.54% (

-0.21)

45.46% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.7% (

-0.17)

81.3% (

0.16)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1% (

0.21)

19.89% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.98% (

0.34)

52.02% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Getafe 18.17%

Atletico Madrid 57.04%

Draw 24.78%

Getafe	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 18.17%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 14.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.79% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 57.04%