SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 25.97% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win is 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Almeria |
48.6% ( -5.21) | 25.43% ( 1.82) | 25.97% ( 3.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.33% ( -4.46) | 51.67% ( 4.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.55% ( -4.01) | 73.45% ( 4.01) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( -3.81) | 21.27% ( 3.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.8% ( -6.26) | 54.19% ( 6.26) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( 0.54) | 34.67% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.6% ( 0.57) | 71.4% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.86)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.89)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.41)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.61)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.61)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.89) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 1.23)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 1.4) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.56)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.79)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.3)Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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