SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Mallorca |
44.21% ( 0.17) | 28.24% ( 0.01) | 27.54% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.98% ( -0.11) | 61.02% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.99% ( -0.08) | 81.01% ( 0.08) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.04) | 27.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.01% ( 0.05) | 62.99% ( -0.05) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.21) | 38.46% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.78% ( -0.2) | 75.21% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 44.21% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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