SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
53.44% ( -5.01) | 25.09% ( 1.94) | 21.48% ( 3.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( -3.75) | 54.25% ( 3.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( -3.23) | 75.65% ( 3.22) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( -3.3) | 20.29% ( 3.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.34% ( -5.55) | 52.65% ( 5.55) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% ( 1.17) | 40.25% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.12% ( 1.05) | 76.88% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.67)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -1.01)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.73)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.69)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.55)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.42% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 1.13)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 1.23) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.55)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.65)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.22)Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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