SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
55.03% ( -0.05) | 23.83% ( 0) | 21.13% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.24% ( 0.05) | 49.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% ( 0.04) | 71.76% ( -0.05) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( 0) | 17.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.21% ( 0) | 48.78% ( -0) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( 0.08) | 38.05% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.18% ( 0.08) | 74.81% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 55.03% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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