SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
65.64% ( 0.13) | 20.78% ( 0.04) | 13.57% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.32% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.68% ( -0.52) | 49.31% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.63% ( -0.47) | 71.36% ( 0.47) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.12) | 14.22% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.04% ( -0.24) | 41.95% ( 0.24) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.83% ( -0.59) | 47.16% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.39% ( -0.44) | 82.61% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 65.63% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.78% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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