SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
61.68% ( -0.73) | 21.71% ( 0.42) | 16.61% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -1.24) | 47.41% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( -1.16) | 69.62% ( 1.15) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( -0.64) | 14.84% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.84% ( -1.22) | 43.16% ( 1.22) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.23% ( -0.35) | 41.77% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.77% ( -0.3) | 78.23% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.4% Total : 61.67% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
