Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 44%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.