SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
47.33% ( -0.23) | 29.03% ( 0.03) | 23.64% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 39.9% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
